FTSE LIVE: GVC pounded by gambling clampdown; Sterling in the red again as no-deal Brexit looms
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The first round of the French presidential elections were already firmly in focus, but Theresa May calling an early general election has also added to volatility levels. "We saw evidence of this as investors started buying just minutes after she announced there would be a General Election, which is why we saw the climb back up following the rise and dip this morning shortly before her statement." Carlo Alberto De Casa, ActivTrades chief analyst, thinks the market has confidence in a stronger majority in Parliament for Theresa May. "Also frankly with a P/E ratio of 16.5 times earnings, the FTSE 100 was beginning to look a little rich for many peoples’ blood. So the reaction by investors was predictable." Stephen Gallo, European head of FX strategy at BMO, argues that a general election is a positive development for the pound. The pound has now made gains of 1.02pc today, changing hands at $1.2715 against the US dollar.
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The 2011 downleg in the US Dollar Index recently violated the 2009 low but has held above the more major low, finding support on the long term chart and producing an initial reversal sign too. But we're really talking here about the dollar's long-term demise. More telling, the real 10-year yield – the rate of interest paid to new buyers after you account for inflation – just slipped back below zero, even on the official CPI measure of living costs. In addition, there are currently heated discussions in Congress about declaring China a "currency manipulator," or otherwise coercing China to allow its Yuan to appreciate faster to enable American business to compete more effectively on a global basis. Rumors are circulating that in an effort to enable its exporters to compete effectively with China, Japanese authorities are considering some sort of currency "peg," perhaps to a basket of currencies, or vis-a-vis the Yuan, or maybe even in part to gold. On its face, suggesting that the Occupy Wall Street movement may threaten the U.S. dollar may appear like a tall order.
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The first round of the French presidential elections were already firmly in focus, but Theresa May calling an early general election has also added to volatility levels. "We saw evidence of this as investors started buying just minutes after she announced there would be a General Election, which is why we saw the climb back up following the rise and dip this morning shortly before her statement." Carlo Alberto De Casa, ActivTrades chief analyst, thinks the market has confidence in a stronger majority in Parliament for Theresa May. "Also frankly with a P/E ratio of 16.5 times earnings, the FTSE 100 was beginning to look a little rich for many peoples’ blood. So the reaction by investors was predictable." Stephen Gallo, European head of FX strategy at BMO, argues that a general election is a positive development for the pound. The pound has now made gains of 1.02pc today, changing hands at $1.2715 against the US dollar.
The signal serves as the loudest death knell for the USDollar among many in a sequence. On a similar parallel note, lighter and more humorous, one might be reminded of the pirate swash buckling style of yelling at the swabbies that the beatings will continue until morale improves. The QE bond monetization of USGovt debt has turned viral and entrenched. It is sold as stimulus, when in fact it acts like a giant wet blanket on the USEconomy. It is intended as stimulus to businesses, but the effect is felt on the financial speculation and on Asian direct business investment. In the past the emergency lever device had been successful only because it was used on a temporary basis.
The 2011 downleg in the US Dollar Index recently violated the 2009 low but has held above the more major low, finding support on the long term chart and producing an initial reversal sign too. But we're really talking here about the dollar's long-term demise. More telling, the real 10-year yield – the rate of interest paid to new buyers after you account for inflation – just slipped back below zero, even on the official CPI measure of living costs. In addition, there are currently heated discussions in Congress about declaring China a "currency manipulator," or otherwise coercing China to allow its Yuan to appreciate faster to enable American business to compete more effectively on a global basis. Rumors are circulating that in an effort to enable its exporters to compete effectively with China, Japanese authorities are considering some sort of currency "peg," perhaps to a basket of currencies, or vis-a-vis the Yuan, or maybe even in part to gold. On its face, suggesting that the Occupy Wall Street movement may threaten the U.S. dollar may appear like a tall order.
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